The Lagos State Government has issued an early warning that the state will get above-average rainfall in the first peak of the 2025 rainy season, with a delayed cessation lasting into December.
At the Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP) press event in Alausa, Mr. Tokunbo Wahab, the state commissioner for environment and water resources, said that the prognosis shows a “longer-than-usual rainy season, beginning in late March and ending in early December.”
He stated this in a statement on his verified X page on Sunday.
“The rainy season is expected to start as early as the last week of March, while the end of the season is expected in the first week of December.
“The average annual rainfall amount predicted is 1,936 mm, which is greater than the long-term 1991–2020 average,” Wahab said.
The forecast is based on the neutral phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which will last for the first 6 to 8 months of the year.
He explained that “Lagos State, alongside neighbouring Ogun State, will see an increase in rainfall, with Ikeja, Badagry, Ikorodu, Lagos Island, and Epe all experiencing above-normal precipitation levels.
“For instance, Ikeja is expected to have an onset date of April 2 and a cessation date of December 2, with an annual rainfall amount of 1,900mm. Badagry will see its first rains on March 30 and end on December 4, with 1,978mm of rainfall,” he stated.
The commissioner warned of possible flash floods, especially in low-lying areas, and strong winds during the beginning and end of the rainy season, which could pose hazards to lives, properties, and economic activity.
“We anticipate that the high amounts of rainfall may lead to flash flooding events in some parts of the state..
“Strong winds are expected during the onset and end of the season, which could disrupt commercial activities, cause flight delays, and lead to revenue losses,” he cautioned.
Wahab reassured residents that the state government is increasing flood control measures to prepare for expected rainfall.
He also emphasised the importance of collaborating with NiMet for early warning and climate adaptation.
“The ministry is collaborating with NiMet in the annual Seasonal Climate Prediction, which has been a vital tool for farmers, planners, decision-makers, and businesses that could be affected by the rainy season,” he said.
Lagosians have been urged to remain vigilant, follow official weather updates, and take necessary precautions to protect their lives and property as Greater Lagos prepares for a heavy rainy season, he concluded.
